Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 22.276474 25.787838 29.590909 34.005717 38.978924 44.396924 50.734955
2025-01-26 17.346231 22.453557 28.517576 36.195385 45.599171 56.679989 70.657564
2025-02-02 14.926458 21.072560 28.901751 39.479110 53.250574 70.413169 93.236178
2025-02-09 12.375927 18.855275 27.628414 40.154346 57.317414 79.714788 110.799980
2025-02-16 10.294289 16.809574 26.129310 40.102374 60.119354 87.294692 126.403868
2025-02-23 8.602692 14.989354 24.601972 39.672007 62.142640 93.740683 140.688365
2025-03-02 7.301191 13.523050 23.342418 39.381392 64.182198 100.174945 155.190088
2025-03-09 6.241745 12.258481 22.191770 39.053529 66.020338 106.306426 169.493091
2025-03-16 5.014872 10.491005 19.977170 36.746461 64.523574 107.278069 176.128942
2025-03-23 4.572340 10.058481 19.929449 37.939640 68.591315 116.860131 196.163428
2025-03-30 4.252213 9.802283 20.144197 39.567101 73.444445 127.900029 218.984060
2025-04-06 3.617892 8.816088 18.909794 38.515641 73.694676 131.589034 230.418978
2025-04-13 2.949532 7.670815 17.287661 36.702885 72.678702 133.473692 239.647473
2025-04-20 2.806182 7.653829 17.876284 39.093447 79.316411 148.569064 271.458685
2025-04-27 2.775238 7.888994 18.999682 42.612679 88.253778 168.082131 311.649212
2025-05-04 2.495180 7.477605 18.720692 43.336046 92.078397 179.010887 337.959164
2025-05-11 2.190880 6.942093 18.096469 43.280930 94.402988 187.412125 360.344971
2025-05-18 1.900817 6.378977 17.325636 42.821276 95.876585 194.331698 380.449396
2025-05-25 1.660132 5.895480 16.664602 42.510821 97.590159 201.742814 401.742688
2025-06-01 1.449524 5.448355 16.022193 42.160538 99.171002 208.961382 423.002507
2025-06-08 1.165302 4.703217 14.523643 39.694933 96.167479 207.344341 428.062062
2025-06-15 1.086629 4.592995 14.634012 40.970273 101.117573 221.175361 462.240867
2025-06-22 1.032844 4.554307 14.928314 42.709223 107.176883 237.454790 501.692518